Algorithmic trading enables the execution of orders using a set of rules determined by a computer program. Orders are submitted based on an asset’s expected price in the future, an approach well suited for high-volatility markets, such as those trading in cryptocurrencies. The goal of this study is to find a reliable and profitable model to predict the future direction of a crypto asset’s price based on publicly available historical data. We first develop a novel labeling scheme and map this problem into a Machine Learning classification problem. The model is then validated on three major cryptocurrencies through an extensive backtest over a bull, bear and flat market. Finally, the contribution of each feature to the classification output is analyzed.
A profitable trading algorithm for cryptocurrencies using a Neural Network model
Mimmo ParenteSupervision
;Luca Rizzuti
Methodology
;Mario TrerotolaData Curation
2023-01-01
Abstract
Algorithmic trading enables the execution of orders using a set of rules determined by a computer program. Orders are submitted based on an asset’s expected price in the future, an approach well suited for high-volatility markets, such as those trading in cryptocurrencies. The goal of this study is to find a reliable and profitable model to predict the future direction of a crypto asset’s price based on publicly available historical data. We first develop a novel labeling scheme and map this problem into a Machine Learning classification problem. The model is then validated on three major cryptocurrencies through an extensive backtest over a bull, bear and flat market. Finally, the contribution of each feature to the classification output is analyzed.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.
